Rifter · Polymarket wallet 0x04c3…9a7c

Wallet snapshot

Rifter has made 1,561 trades on Polymarket across 438 markets, $28K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%) and politics (21%). On 427 resolved markets the win rate is 71.2%, lifetime P&L -$297. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No · $39 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No · $19 · 79¢ → 82¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $11 · 44¢ → 95¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No · $2 · 63¢ → 86¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $1 · 48¢ → 6¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes · $0 · 38¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Sep 22, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$8 · Sep 12, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes · -$5 · Sep 12, 2026
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes · -$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes · -$1 · Aug 21, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 19, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.