Grouchy-Genius · Polymarket wallet 0x0345…c916

Wallet snapshot

Grouchy-Genius has made 227 trades on Polymarket across 157 markets, $3,876 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (32%) and economics (26%). On 154 resolved markets the win rate is 77.9%, lifetime P&L +$27. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · $13 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No · $6 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will XRP reach $2.60 in October?No · $5 · 99¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$5 · Oct 1, 2026
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?No · -$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No · $0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No · +$1 · Sep 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.