Resolved
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$7.0K
264 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 123 traders
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs10 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $74 is directional: YES $63·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$868
Avg Win Rate
87.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$721(+83.0%)
Whales
15
P
polybettor🥇
Entry 52¢·1,111.9 shares
Invested
$574
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$538
+$538INV $574 · WR 92.5%
A
AgricultureSecretary◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·241.5 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $121 · WR 91.2%
6
0x6fa70d26...◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·110 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $55 · WR 88.8%
T
Tian-Wenhedged
Entry 88¢·50 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $44 · WR 65.7%
2
0x25838295...
Entry 53¢·75.1 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $40 · WR 56.7%
L
lekkerweertje
Entry 38¢·29.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 58.2%
J
JonnyA◆Proven
Entry 48¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 64.1%
2
0x21e6ef75...
Entry 49¢·4.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.8%
4
0x4b9c5d9f...
Entry 47¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.1%
4
0x41793ca0...
Entry 49¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.9%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$84
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$71(-84.4%)
Whales
10
T
Tian-Wen🥇hedged
Entry 68¢·50 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$34
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $34 · WR 65.7%
B
badatthis🥈
Entry 55¢·50 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 64.0%
B
big-bird1🥉
Entry 50¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 68.4%
4
0x4d215a1c...
Entry 54¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 55.3%
2
0x29e32c84...
Entry 56¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.4%
D
0xd418fca0...
Entry 54¢·3.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.8%
6
0x6b79543f...
Entry 54¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 55.2%
6
0x66b3500e...
Entry 56¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.1%
2
0x27f2f5ef...
Entry 54¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.0%
Showing top 9 of 10
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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