Geopolitics80 days left
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$23.8K
1,148 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 175 traders
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
6 MARKETS · $107.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31
7¢−4¢$7.4K1/29Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31−4¢7¢
$7.4K1/29
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31←
21¢−7¢$23.8K6/38Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31←−7¢21¢
$23.8K6/38
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31
26¢−8¢$19.5K8/36Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31−8¢26¢
$19.5K8/36
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31
28¢−10¢$19.9K7/31Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31−10¢28¢
$19.9K7/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs39 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$48+15 new NO$743
$86 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $173 is directional: YES $39·NO $134YES Team
Total Invested
$83
Avg Win Rate
56.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-11.0%)
Whales
6
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$628(+23.5%)
Whales
39
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 57¢·1,221.3 shares
Invested
$696
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$275
+$275INV $696 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 80¢·340 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $273 · WR 72.2%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 81¢·299.2 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $242 · WR 69.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 67¢·318 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $213 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 75¢·123.7 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $92 · WR 89.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 55¢·158.2 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $87 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 56¢·136 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $76 · WR 88.7%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 58¢·128.4 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $75 · WR 59.6%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 77¢·96.6 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $74 · WR 59.7%
M
mr.fig
Entry 25¢·262.4 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $66 · WR 60.0%
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