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Economics46 days left

Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$38.0K
1,172 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 249 traders · 1 on both sides

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

6 MARKETS · $178.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs34 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 28¢
YES 19%NO 81%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 28¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+9 new YES+8 new NO
$84 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3· $1.7KNO 0· $0one dot = one wallet, whatever its stake
3 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $4.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.9K·NO $2.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$452(+23.4%)
Whales
8
H
Hossein-mProven🥇
Entry 22¢·7,565.2 shares
+$470INV $1.6K · WR 75.0%
H
Hellboy-winner🥈
Entry 27¢·400 shares
$-13INV $109 · WR 81.9%
D
Dimpled-Hurt🥉
Entry 28¢·350 shares
$-13INV $97 · WR 64.1%
3
0x3c345e3a...
Entry 22¢·313.4 shares
+$7INV $69 · WR 66.7%
E
EdgeHustler
Entry 24¢·20.4 shares
$-0INV $5 · WR 58.6%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 17¢·16 shares·also $0 on NO
+$1INV $3 · WR 60.4%
F
f021
Entry 23¢·10 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 63.5%
B
BoberKurwaYaPerdole
Entry 17¢·5 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 64.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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