Economics46 days left
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$21.7K
670 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 181 traders · 1 on both sides
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
6 MARKETS · $178.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31
3¢+3¢$11.6K2/33Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31+3¢3¢
$11.6K2/33
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31
12¢−6¢$33.9K2/34Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31−6¢12¢
$33.9K2/34
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31
43¢−29¢$35.7K6/36Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31−29¢43¢
$35.7K6/36
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31
28¢−9¢$38.0K8/34Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31−9¢28¢
$38.0K8/34
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs33 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 7¢
YES 13%NO 87%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 7¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3· $857NO 0· $0one dot = one wallet, whatever its stake
3 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $692·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$693
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$264(-38.1%)
Whales
5
H
Hossein-m◆Proven🥇
Entry 12¢·5,364.2 shares
Invested
$623
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-244
$-244INV $623 · WR 75.0%
H
Hellboy-winner🥈
Entry 19¢·200 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $38 · WR 81.9%
3
0x3c345e3a...🥉
Entry 13¢·211.8 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $27 · WR 66.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 17¢·16 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 60.4%
B
BoberKurwaYaPerdole
Entry 7¢·29 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 64.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.9K
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$387(+7.9%)
Whales
33
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 86¢·1,281.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $1.1K · WR 87.7%
H
Hakei.🥈
Entry 86¢·1,261.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $1.1K · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 90¢·838.1 shares
Invested
$754
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $754 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 84¢·464.5 shares
Invested
$392
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $392 · WR 71.9%
A
alex20011
Entry 91¢·192.5 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $176 · WR 74.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 94¢·174.4 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $164 · WR 79.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 84¢·169 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $142 · WR 88.5%
A
anothercoin
Entry 82¢·134.2 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $109 · WR 84.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 89¢·123 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $109 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 90¢·100 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $90 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 33
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 35ms