Geopolitics80 days left
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$12.5K
391 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 118 traders
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
7 MARKETS · $316.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs2 NO
80%20%
80% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+2 new NO$11
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $617 is directional: YES $309·NO $307YES Team
Total Invested
$309
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$75(-24.2%)
Whales
8
C
Cattail◆Proven🥇
Entry 66¢·257.7 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $170 · WR 66.7%
M
Mustafalafel🥈
Entry 62¢·146.6 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $91 · WR 62.5%
U
Unnatural-Insulation🥉
Entry 85¢·20.1 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $17 · WR 58.1%
P
peterpane
Entry 57¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 65.7%
W
Weekly-Can
Entry 61¢·16.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 62.8%
K
ka7ak
Entry 57¢·14 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 65.2%
E
easyautomate
Entry 59¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.4%
S
srl
Entry 71¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 77.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$307
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+13.1%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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