Politics80 days left
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$11.5K
322 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 113 traders · 1 on both sides
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
2 MARKETS · $12.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs11 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$33+5 new NO$285
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $154·NO $908YES Team
Total Invested
$437
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$253(-58.0%)
Whales
12
F
FortunatelyFestive🥇hedged
Entry 138¢·175.3 shares·also $255 on NO
Invested
$241
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-221
$-221INV $241 · WR 86.0%
M
melonmanm◆Proven🥈
Entry 12¢·560.6 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $66 · WR 69.6%
M
mombil◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·379.2 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $43 · WR 60.4%
B
0xbadaf319...
Entry 64¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $31 · WR 67.4%
T
TheMasterMind
Entry 15¢·200 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $30 · WR 64.8%
L
Lurki
Entry 18¢·50 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 56.7%
H
hitunfar
Entry 15¢·38 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 61.1%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 27¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 67.2%
T
TenPinBowler
Entry 17¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 88.7%
H
hithitfar
Entry 15¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
76.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$752(+63.4%)
Whales
11
N
nchgbhy◆Proven🥇
Entry 88¢·495.4 shares
Invested
$438
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $438 · WR 83.3%
V
vino1234🥈
Entry 84¢·304.6 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $256 · WR 61.7%
F
FortunatelyFestive🥉hedged
Entry 24¢·1,060.6 shares·also $241 on YES
Invested
$255
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$683
+$683INV $255 · WR 86.0%
C
Car
Entry 88¢·139.6 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $123 · WR 64.9%
R
Robbb◆Proven
Entry 72¢·104.3 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $75 · WR 81.2%
K
kjaxLH1324
Entry 28¢·64.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $18 · WR 56.5%
N
NellyDora
Entry 90¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 55.5%
M
mad4x
Entry 90¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 57.0%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 90¢·2.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.4%
C
cy6erpunker
Entry 90¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 67.1%
Showing top 10 of 11
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