17 days left
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$10.3K
213 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 107 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will Trump meet with by November 30?
16 MARKETS · $253.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 17¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 17¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 80%
$20
$5
+13 new YES · 1 smart whale+1 new NO
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 39h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $1.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $79·NO $1.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$84
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$64(+76.5%)
Whales
3
S
SloppyDonny🥇
Entry 10¢·430 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $43 · WR 68.7%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 17¢·219.3 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $37 · WR 78.9%
L
Luminous-Insectarium🥉hedged
Entry 2¢·247.9 shares·also $705 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $5 · WR 63.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-0.3%)
Whales
12
L
Luminous-Insectarium🥇hedged
Entry 78¢·898.9 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$705
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $705 · WR 63.6%
F
Faston◆Proven🥈
Entry 90¢·281 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $253 · WR 56.9%
U
Udonsan🥉
Entry 91¢·251 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $229 · WR 83.8%
C
Chims◆Proven
Entry 87¢·199 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $173 · WR 85.3%
U
Umaroth
Entry 83¢·150 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $125 · WR 61.1%
D
DREAMBIG.◆Proven
Entry 85¢·88.2 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $75 · WR 71.5%
M
ManipulationOfRisk
Entry 89¢·67.5 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $60 · WR 74.2%
T
The-Defect
Entry 82¢·22 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 80.6%
P
psyduckler
Entry 90¢·10.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 76.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 85¢·7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 68.1%
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