GeopoliticsResolved
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$61.9K
1,115 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 245 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs36 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$606 of $9.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $8.3K·NO $144YES Team
Total Invested
$14.7K
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.0K(+47.8%)
Whales
24
R
RainIess🥇hedged
Entry 76¢·10,039.9 shares·also $303 on NO
Invested
$7.7K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$2063
+$2063INV $7.7K · WR 71.9%
M
melonmanm◆Proven🥈
Entry 61¢·3,273.8 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$1272
+$1272INV $2.0K · WR 69.6%
H
Hakei.🥉
Entry 62¢·2,333.5 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$875
+$875INV $1.5K · WR 71.7%
B
Bromley86◆Proven
Entry 84¢·891.8 shares
Invested
$752
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $752 · WR 90.8%
A
Arman2hedged
Entry 66¢·992.2 shares·also $778 on NO
Invested
$652
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$341
+$341INV $652 · WR 57.7%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 59¢·941.7 shares
Invested
$555
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$386
+$386INV $555 · WR 64.8%
C
completedegen
Entry 84¢·598.7 shares
Invested
$502
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $502 · WR 81.5%
R
robert-mukhametov
Entry 76¢·402.4 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $305 · WR 59.7%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 8¢·1,484.7 shares·also $641 on NO
Invested
$119
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$1365
+$1365INV $119 · WR 57.1%
F
fgdhdghrthr
Entry 16¢·231 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$194
+$194INV $37 · WR 62.4%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.7K(-84.8%)
Whales
36
A
Arman2🥇hedged
Entry 158¢·492.2 shares·also $652 on YES
Invested
$778
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-778
$-778INV $778 · WR 57.7%
N
Newshound🥈hedged
Entry 48¢·1,339.7 shares·also $119 on YES
Invested
$641
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-641
$-641INV $641 · WR 57.1%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 17¢·2,523.9 shares
Invested
$434
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-434
$-434INV $434 · WR 72.2%
R
RainIesshedged
Entry 43¢·707.2 shares·also $7.7K on YES
Invested
$303
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-282
$-282INV $303 · WR 71.9%
W
WashTrade
Entry 98¢·255.2 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $249 · WR 59.2%
K
KoninaAntonina
Entry 28¢·300 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $83 · WR 57.1%
L
Lolakis
Entry 38¢·200 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $76 · WR 61.8%
O
Optimus-◆Proven
Entry 21¢·271.5 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $57 · WR 62.0%
S
Savage-Snow
Entry 6¢·252.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $15 · WR 59.7%
S
Silky-Trapezium
Entry 44¢·22.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 83.8%
Showing top 10 of 36
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 769ms