RainIess · Polymarket wallet 0x4807…70ab

+$12,664 lifetime P&L · 72.4% win rate · 58 resolved markets · 0x4807a18cd70a7108366660aa08d94600d8ef70ab

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Wallet snapshot

RainIess has made 1,796 trades on Polymarket across 87 markets, $342K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (34%) and tech (7%). On 58 resolved markets the win rate is 72.4%, lifetime P&L +$13K. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No · $3,813 · 83¢ → 84¢
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?Yes · $512 · 91¢ → 97¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · $456 · 33¢ → 27¢
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?No · $444 · 84¢ → 83¢
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?Yes · $442 · 96¢ → 96¢
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026?Yes · $390 · 90¢ → 95¢
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?No · $356 · 84¢ → 85¢
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No · $209 · 84¢ → 85¢
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?No · $194 · 53¢ → 84¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No · $172 · 70¢ → 81¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$1,003 · Oct 16, 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No · -$111 · Oct 16, 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes · +$178 · Oct 16, 2026
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?No · +$91 · Oct 16, 2026
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes · -$52 · Oct 15, 2026
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$87 · Oct 14, 2026
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?No · -$32 · Oct 14, 2026

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