Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$8.3K
423 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 137 traders
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
6 MARKETS · $42.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢+62¢$7828/5Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026+62¢0¢
$7828/5
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢+10¢$3.8K2/18Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026+10¢0¢
$3.8K2/18
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026
0¢+9¢$5.9K2/21Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026+9¢0¢
$5.9K2/21
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026
0¢+20¢$9.3K7/28Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026+20¢0¢
$9.3K7/28
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs23 NO
12%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 57% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+6 new YES$1+1 new NO$100
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $178 is directional: YES $102·NO $76YES Team
Total Invested
$109
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$107(-98.2%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$959
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$504(+52.6%)
Whales
23
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 70¢·294.5 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $207 · WR 72.0%
L
luciebot🥈
Entry 90¢·139.9 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $126 · WR 81.7%
F
fourcoin15m🥉
Entry 68¢·150.2 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $103 · WR 84.6%
O
OnlyPhan
Entry 37¢·269 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $100 · WR 85.1%
J
johnsalchichon
Entry 99¢·77 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $76 · WR 67.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 77¢·76.6 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $59 · WR 79.4%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 100¢·42 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $42 · WR 59.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 86.1%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 100¢·35 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $35 · WR 60.0%
N
neverhackmehedged
Entry 83¢·40 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $33 · WR 75.3%
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