YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.5K
435 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 115 traders
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
6 MARKETS · $30.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢+14¢$6481/6Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026+14¢0¢
$6481/6
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢+8¢$3.1K1/12Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026+8¢0¢
$3.1K1/12
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026
0¢+5¢$4.5K1/18Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026+5¢0¢
$4.5K1/18
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026←
0¢+21¢$7.5K5/19Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026←+21¢0¢
$7.5K5/19
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs18 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$0+4 new NO$49
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $403 is directional: YES $46·NO $357YES Team
Total Invested
$46
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$45(-98.0%)
Whales
5
K
Konfucious🥇
Entry 23¢·178 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $41 · WR 61.9%
N
neverhackme🥈
Entry 14¢·37 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 75.7%
K
kongysniper🥉hedged
Entry 3¢·7.3 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 84.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 1¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 72.1%
G
gambler925
Entry 0¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$724
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$232(+32.0%)
Whales
18
J
johnpudricion🥇
Entry 99¢·271.2 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $268 · WR 88.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 55¢·180 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $98 · WR 85.9%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 73¢·115.7 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $85 · WR 69.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 70¢·107.1 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $75 · WR 79.6%
C
CryptoPuchok
Entry 85¢·59.3 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $50 · WR 83.3%
C
Clever-Catalysis
Entry 59¢·63 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $37 · WR 81.9%
C
CelestaQueen
Entry 90¢·33.3 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 90.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 81¢·16 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 84.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 76¢·16 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $12 · WR 86.6%
D
Deserted-Surroundings
Entry 68¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 79.2%
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