GeopoliticsResolved
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$115.2K
1,235 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 432 traders
Smart Money Consensus
32 YESvs38 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $385 is directional: YES $385·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.7K(-89.2%)
Whales
32
P
PaddyAlpha🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·1,180.5 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1180
$-1180INV $1.2K · WR 68.2%
N
Nostdam🥈hedged
Entry 84¢·1,244.8 shares·also $171 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1052
$-1052INV $1.1K · WR 57.7%
B
busstopboxer🥉
Entry 100¢·441.1 shares
Invested
$440
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-440
$-440INV $440 · WR 61.9%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 31¢·1,245.2 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-385
$-385INV $385 · WR 66.6%
T
Town15hedged
Entry 69¢·499.2 shares·also $214 on NO
Invested
$345
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-345
$-345INV $345 · WR 85.1%
A
AB2hedged
Entry 82¢·194.4 shares·also $65 on NO
Invested
$160
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-160
$-160INV $160 · WR 72.9%
Y
yamauris
Entry 33¢·200 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $66 · WR 55.4%
S
StraddleSeller
Entry 29¢·200 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $58 · WR 66.2%
H
h4xorhedged
Entry 21¢·238.5 shares·also $130 on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $49 · WR 64.1%
Showing top 9 of 32
NO Team
Total Invested
$28.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$16.3K(+57.2%)
Whales
38
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 97¢·12,539.9 shares
Invested
$12.1K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$414
+$414INV $12.1K · WR 59.8%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven🥈
Entry 89¢·10,675.4 shares
Invested
$9.5K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$1160
+$1160INV $9.5K · WR 69.4%
D
dumbestdollars🥉
Entry 28¢·6,393.3 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$4606
+$4606INV $1.8K · WR 64.7%
M
MCjin
Entry 34¢·3,778.1 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$2498
+$2498INV $1.3K · WR 73.3%
O
ondra123◆Proven
Entry 25¢·3,944.5 shares
Invested
$986
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$2959
+$2959INV $986 · WR 72.0%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 33¢·2,365.4 shares
Invested
$785
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$1580
+$1580INV $785 · WR 60.2%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 84¢·690.6 shares
Invested
$583
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $583 · WR 87.6%
T
Town15hedged
Entry 43¢·499.2 shares·also $345 on YES
Invested
$214
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$285
+$285INV $214 · WR 85.1%
R
RevengeBoarn◆Proven
Entry 99¢·212.3 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
97.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $210 · WR 97.0%
N
Nostdamhedged
Entry 14¢·1,237.6 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$171
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1067
+$1067INV $171 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 38
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