GeopoliticsResolved79 days left

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

100¢

100% implied

NO Price

0¢

0% implied

Volume

$51.0K

1,713 trades

Smart Whales

98

of 582 traders

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

11 MARKETS · $7.57M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

17¢+17¢$209.9K20/38

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢17¢

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

5¢+21¢$359.1K13/37

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+21¢5¢

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

100¢−50¢$4.9K5/5

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−50¢100¢

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

73¢−20¢$14.9K8/7

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−20¢73¢

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

24¢+16¢$5852/3

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+16¢24¢

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

88¢−13¢$1463/1

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−13¢88¢

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—61¢

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←

100¢−41¢$51.0K58/40

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←−41¢100¢

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

96¢−47¢$335.5K51/53

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−47¢96¢

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

8¢+42¢$6.53M258/254

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+42¢8¢

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Smart Money Consensus

58 YESvs40 NO

59%41%

59% of smart money holding this market is on YES

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$6.2K

Avg Win Rate

83.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$841(+13.6%)

Whales

58

Entry 100¢·3,812.9 shares

+$16INV $3.8K · WR 89.8%

Entry 93¢·500 shares

+$37INV $463 · WR 87.3%

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉

Entry 94¢·348.2 shares

+$22INV $326 · WR 57.7%

rabbit007hedged

Entry 98¢·314.3 shares·also $4 on NO

+$8INV $306 · WR 61.2%

Entry 87¢·265.5 shares

+$33INV $232 · WR 74.4%

Entry 88¢·258.7 shares

+$32INV $226 · WR 86.7%

Entry 85¢·200.3 shares·also $107 on NO

+$29INV $171 · WR 57.1%

Entry 80¢·194.6 shares

+$38INV $156 · WR 95.0%

skullyhoofdhedged

Entry 48¢·320 shares·also $176 on NO

+$167INV $153 · WR 64.1%

Entry 52¢·86.5 shares

+$42INV $45 · WR 76.1%

Showing top 10 of 58

NO Team

Total Invested

$2.9K

Avg Win Rate

73.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$2.8K(-95.5%)

Whales

40

Jest55Proven🥇

Entry 44¢·3,404.7 shares

$-1492INV $1.5K · WR 83.3%

KiruaTrading🥈hedged

Entry 94¢·765.6 shares·also $2 on YES

$-720INV $720 · WR 61.5%

skullyhoofd🥉hedged

Entry 55¢·320 shares·also $153 on YES

$-176INV $176 · WR 64.1%

Entry 53¢·200.3 shares·also $171 on YES

$-107INV $107 · WR 57.1%

Entry 91¢·98 shares·also $30 on YES

$-89INV $89 · WR 56.2%

studmuffin6969hedged

Entry 96¢·60 shares·also $12 on YES

$-57INV $57 · WR 60.0%

Fresh-Clothinghedged

Entry 107¢·48.3 shares·also $5 on YES

$-52INV $52 · WR 60.2%

Entry 100¢·50 shares

$-50INV $50 · WR 77.1%

Entry 2¢·1,119.2 shares

$-18INV $18 · WR 74.2%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 13¢·55.4 shares

$-7INV $7 · WR 68.2%

Showing top 10 of 40

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Smart money 59% YES: there be at least 2000 measles cases…