Geopolitics80 days left
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$131.1K
2,627 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 519 traders
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $7.52M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
15¢+19¢$209.8K20/38Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢15¢
$209.8K20/38
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←
6¢+20¢$359.1K13/37Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←+20¢6¢
$359.1K13/37
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
98¢−48¢$4.9K5/5Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−48¢98¢
$4.9K5/5
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢
$65.0K4/3
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
73¢−20¢$14.9K8/7Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−20¢73¢
$14.9K8/7
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
24¢+16¢$5852/3Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+16¢24¢
$5852/3
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
88¢−13¢$1463/1Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−13¢88¢
$1463/1
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
59¢—$680/0Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—59¢
$680/0
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Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs38 NO
26%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 27 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+3 new YES$6+2 new NO$124
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $18·NO $2.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$548
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$482(-87.9%)
Whales
13
G
georgecalinescu8635🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·416.7 shares·also $86 on NO
Invested
$386
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-363
$-363INV $386 · WR 69.7%
1
12100K🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·134 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$114
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $114 · WR 79.5%
S
studmuffin6969🥉
Entry 19¢·50 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10 · WR 60.0%
G
gellej
Entry 17¢·48.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 86.7%
A
andy29
Entry 5¢·6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 5 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$653(+26.3%)
Whales
38
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥇
Entry 91¢·645 shares
Invested
$589
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $589 · WR 74.2%
S
Simon4s🥈
Entry 89¢·378.4 shares
Invested
$335
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $335 · WR 74.4%
F
fElon🥉
Entry 78¢·389 shares
Invested
$303
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $303 · WR 89.8%
G
Gaujmalietis
Entry 87¢·335.3 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $292 · WR 87.2%
3
3zekiel
Entry 87¢·300 shares
Invested
$260
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $260 · WR 87.3%
S
SDODNDPD
Entry 94¢·106.4 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $100 · WR 73.8%
G
georgecalinescu8635hedged
Entry 21¢·417 shares·also $386 on YES
Invested
$86
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$308
+$308INV $86 · WR 69.7%
2
2126ttc
Entry 82¢·100 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $82 · WR 72.1%
A
agarthadownunder
Entry 98¢·60.7 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $59 · WR 92.3%
K
kulloalver4687
Entry 97¢·55.5 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $54 · WR 91.7%
Showing top 10 of 38
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