YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$123.4K
2,066 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 281 traders
How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?
7 MARKETS · $624.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026←
32¢−10¢$123.4K10/35Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026←−10¢32¢
$123.4K10/35
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026
9¢+13¢$32.5K10/35Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026+13¢9¢
$32.5K10/35
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026
1¢+23¢$30.3K11/35Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026+23¢1¢
$30.3K11/35
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026
1¢+15¢$50.3K7/36Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026+15¢1¢
$50.3K7/36
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026
1¢+20¢$103.9K10/38Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026+20¢1¢
$103.9K10/38
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs35 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.8K is directional: YES $1.6K·NO $133YES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$403(+15.7%)
Whales
10
B
Bikesarethebest🥇hedged
Entry 36¢·2,663.4 shares·also $717 on NO
Invested
$950
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $950 · WR 56.3%
A
avon5🥈
Entry 37¢·1,878.9 shares
Invested
$701
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $701 · WR 66.7%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥉
Entry 33¢·1,157.3 shares
Invested
$381
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $381 · WR 74.2%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 15¢·1,299.8 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $193 · WR 64.4%
P
paddaa
Entry 10¢·1,118.8 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$255
+$255INV $107 · WR 61.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 22¢·454.3 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $98 · WR 66.8%
K
Konfucious
Entry 36¢·201.1 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $72 · WR 62.1%
N
nufonehudis67
Entry 17¢·391.1 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $68 · WR 55.4%
R
RuneMorrow
Entry 29¢·11.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 76.9%
Showing top 9 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$325(+13.6%)
Whales
35
B
Bikesarethebest🥇hedged
Entry 62¢·1,162.6 shares·also $950 on YES
Invested
$717
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $717 · WR 56.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 78¢·384 shares
Invested
$299
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $299 · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 73¢·312.5 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $227 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 80¢·190.9 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $154 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 73¢·175.1 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $128 · WR 89.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 75¢·143.6 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $108 · WR 86.0%
A
Anon321321
Entry 50¢·202 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $102 · WR 86.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 69¢·114 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $79 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 72¢·110 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $79 · WR 88.2%
C
chouzh
Entry 72¢·100 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $72 · WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 35
Smart Whale Trades
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