YES Price
58¢
58% implied
NO Price
42¢
42% implied
Volume
$327.5K
3,618 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 411 traders
How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?
8 MARKETS · $952.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026←
58¢−29¢$327.5K16/40Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026←−29¢58¢
$327.5K16/40
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026
32¢−10¢$123.4K10/35Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026−10¢32¢
$123.4K10/35
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026
9¢+13¢$32.5K10/35Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026+13¢9¢
$32.5K10/35
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026
1¢+23¢$30.3K11/35Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026+23¢1¢
$30.3K11/35
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026
1¢+15¢$50.3K7/36Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026+15¢1¢
$50.3K7/36
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026
1¢+20¢$103.9K10/38Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026+20¢1¢
$103.9K10/38
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs40 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.6K is directional: YES $2.1K·NO $510YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+83.2%)
Whales
16
L
l39sm34812391js831🥇
Entry 66¢·1,422.4 shares
Invested
$943
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $943 · WR 60.9%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥈
Entry 36¢·1,311.1 shares
Invested
$472
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$293
+$293INV $472 · WR 64.4%
P
paddaa🥉
Entry 10¢·2,495.5 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$1213
+$1213INV $243 · WR 61.1%
K
Konfucious
Entry 63¢·257.5 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $163 · WR 62.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 61¢·156.2 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $95 · WR 68.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 23¢·400.6 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $90 · WR 66.8%
N
nufonehudis67
Entry 8¢·389.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $33 · WR 55.4%
T
tinman2
Entry 32¢·100 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $32 · WR 65.9%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 31¢·100.9 shares·also $44 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $32 · WR 56.3%
B
Blaring-Backdrop
Entry 24¢·100 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $24 · WR 58.4%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$241(-13.7%)
Whales
40
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 69¢·383.6 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $264 · WR 72.2%
R
Robbb◆Proven🥈
Entry 74¢·223.2 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $164 · WR 81.2%
A
avon5🥉
Entry 55¢·244.1 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $135 · WR 66.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 66¢·181 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $119 · WR 86.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 72¢·152 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $109 · WR 86.0%
E
0xeba3e9f5...
Entry 62¢·160.8 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $100 · WR 78.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 68¢·135 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $92 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 39¢·233 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $92 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 43¢·150.9 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $66 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 45¢·112.8 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $51 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 40
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1145ms