YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$12.0K
574 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 164 traders
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
17 MARKETS · $170.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.
24¢+19¢$53.1K9/12Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.+19¢24¢
$53.1K9/12
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company
9¢+20¢$12.0K4/10Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company+20¢9¢
$12.0K4/10
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
12¢+7¢$18.2K3/13Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited+7¢12¢
$18.2K3/13
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI←
14¢+42¢$12.0K14/11Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI←+42¢14¢
$12.0K14/11
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.
4¢+39¢$5.0K3/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.+39¢4¢
$5.0K3/4
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation
13¢+23¢$17.7K4/7Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation+23¢13¢
$17.7K4/7
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation
11¢−11¢$3.9K0/7Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation−11¢11¢
$3.9K0/7
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance
4¢+76¢$6.5K4/1Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance+76¢4¢
$6.5K4/1
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
8¢+42¢$3.5K3/3Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.+42¢8¢
$3.5K3/3
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.
10¢+28¢$5.2K3/5Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.+28¢10¢
$5.2K3/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.
9¢+24¢$3.0K2/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.+24¢9¢
$3.0K2/4
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC
14¢+24¢$7.5K3/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC+24¢14¢
$7.5K3/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company
8¢+21¢$4.1K2/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company+21¢8¢
$4.1K2/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.
5¢−5¢$6.8K0/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.−5¢5¢
$6.8K0/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.
4¢+52¢$10.4K5/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.+52¢4¢
$10.4K5/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs11 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $717 is directional: YES $434·NO $284YES Team
Total Invested
$546
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$406(-74.4%)
Whales
14
O
Optimus-◆Proven🥇
Entry 64¢·578.6 shares
Invested
$371
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-293
$-293INV $371 · WR 62.0%
A
alphatango2🥈
Entry 56¢·77.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $44 · WR 73.3%
I
inno🥉
Entry 27¢·143.2 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $38 · WR 57.7%
A
aliizhedged
Entry 160¢·18.8 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $30 · WR 65.1%
R
R12234hedged
Entry 87¢·20 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $17 · WR 55.2%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 27¢·49 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $13 · WR 56.3%
N
Newshound
Entry 20¢·43.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 57.1%
D
deepsleep
Entry 18¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 69.2%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 28¢·19 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 56.0%
6
6sFjgt22jX8tMEhedged
Entry 71¢·6.7 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 60.2%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$355
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$240(+67.6%)
Whales
11
M
MrNoItAll🥇
Entry 89¢·169 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $150 · WR 89.6%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 37¢·298.1 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$147
+$147INV $111 · WR 59.8%
I
ilyck🥉
Entry 37¢·143.6 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $54 · WR 59.4%
M
Musk5
Entry 85¢·15.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 71.9%
R
R12234hedged
Entry 38¢·20 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $8 · WR 55.2%
A
aliizhedged
Entry 40¢·18.8 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $8 · WR 65.1%
U
User96014
Entry 87¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 89.3%
P
Poloren
Entry 88¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 87.5%
I
IrthBirthhedged
Entry 43¢·6.5 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 57.3%
J
JPuFor
Entry 87¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 11
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