GeopoliticsResolved
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$926.8K
6,784 trades
Smart Whales
144
of 1,381 traders
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by...
2 MARKETS · $946.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
78 YESvs66 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$229.7K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.0K(+4.4%)
Whales
78
B
BrightStars🥇
Entry 99¢·32,615.9 shares
Invested
$32.4K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$203
+$203INV $32.4K · WR 67.6%
S
scout🥈
Entry 99¢·26,989.8 shares
Invested
$26.8K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$161
+$161INV $26.8K · WR 92.0%
B
bearbees2🥉
Entry 100¢·22,508.8 shares
Invested
$22.4K
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $22.4K · WR 86.5%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 92¢·21,428.3 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$19.7K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$1736
+$1736INV $19.7K · WR 56.0%
D
diadjaid
Entry 99¢·17,767 shares
Invested
$17.5K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$229
+$229INV $17.5K · WR 55.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 98¢·17,000 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$16.7K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$300
+$300INV $16.7K · WR 57.7%
W
Wickier◆Proven
Entry 95¢·14,271.5 shares
Invested
$13.6K
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$693
+$693INV $13.6K · WR 60.7%
C
ChikaBoomPow
Entry 97¢·10,290.8 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$291
+$291INV $10.0K · WR 57.0%
N
Neon-Gargoyle
Entry 100¢·9,734.7 shares
Invested
$9.7K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $9.7K · WR 56.8%
D
denizz◆Proven
Entry 78¢·11,111 shares
Invested
$8.7K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$2447
+$2447INV $8.7K · WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 78
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.6K
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.7K(-52.2%)
Whales
66
S
SwissMiss🥇
Entry 74¢·3,999.9 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-2940
$-2940INV $2.9K · WR 62.6%
M
MisTKy🥈
Entry 6¢·34,575.8 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-2142
$-2142INV $2.1K · WR 71.3%
D
DegenerateJanet🥉
Entry 88¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-1760
$-1760INV $1.8K · WR 83.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 52¢·2,000 shares·also $16.7K on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1037
$-1037INV $1.0K · WR 57.7%
N
notssf3
Entry 10¢·5,168.5 shares
Invested
$535
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-535
$-535INV $535 · WR 60.9%
E
ED99999
Entry 2¢·5,100 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $105 · WR 73.6%
A
AishahSofeyhedged
Entry 4¢·2,008 shares·also $1.9K on YES
Invested
$72
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 56.8%
W
wbxxx
Entry 1¢·5,880.2 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 60.0%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 1¢·2,866 shares·also $19.7K on YES
Invested
$29
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 56.0%
Showing top 9 of 66
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