Neon-Gargoyle · Polymarket wallet 0x1424…2c7f

Wallet snapshot

Neon-Gargoyle has made 2,075 trades on Polymarket across 128 markets, $602K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (86%). On 113 resolved markets the win rate is 57.5%, lifetime P&L +$16K. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes · $10K · 94¢ → 93¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes · $629 · 93¢ → 92¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Yes · $330 · 7¢ → 22¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes · $223 · 16¢ → 45¢
• Will Israel election happen as scheduled?No · $210 · 8¢ → 16¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Yes · +$108 · Oct 16, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · +$199 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · -$20 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · +$220 · Oct 13, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$284 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No · -$100 · Sep 29, 2026
• Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.