GeopoliticsResolved
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$163.1K
1,193 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 530 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
2 MARKETS · $163.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs40 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 33 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.6K is directional: YES $15·NO $4.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$429
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$428(-99.8%)
Whales
10
B
bipbipbop🥇
Entry 4¢·9,115.1 shares
Invested
$379
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-379
$-379INV $379 · WR 72.6%
C
Car🥈
Entry 2¢·995 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 64.9%
W
whig◆Proven🥉
Entry 6¢·111.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 63.1%
M
mombil◆Proven
Entry 3¢·171 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 60.4%
R
romanew-3-15
Entry 8¢·61 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 71.9%
R
RockyBro
Entry 5¢·91.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 56.0%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 2¢·104.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 55.4%
M
MarquardtYundt
Entry 1¢·147.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 75.0%
S
solder
Entry 6¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 72.6%
M
m3t3hedged
Entry 7¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 70.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.8K
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$178(+1.8%)
Whales
40
C
charlatta🥇
Entry 100¢·4,252.6 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $4.2K · WR 87.3%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥈
Entry 99¢·2,685 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $2.7K · WR 90.9%
W
Wowiwow◆Proven🥉
Entry 94¢·1,565 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $1.5K · WR 83.9%
R
randomWalkingShrimp◆Proven
Entry 98¢·708.3 shares
Invested
$691
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $691 · WR 77.0%
P
Porx
Entry 95¢·200 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $191 · WR 65.9%
M
Mr-Krabs◆Proven
Entry 99¢·163.6 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $161 · WR 78.7%
F
Frequent-Underground-Bureau
Entry 98¢·70 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $69 · WR 59.3%
J
JasonPunos
Entry 92¢·67 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $62 · WR 74.1%
L
lionsever
Entry 100¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 92.0%
R
ranks6444
Entry 99¢·50 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $49 · WR 94.7%
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