PoliticsResolved

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$31.7K
2,041 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 503 traders

Smart Money Consensus

21 YESvs69 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$429+6 new NO$3.8K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.1K is directional: YES $420·NO $6.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 24% YES: the Republicans win the Iowa governor…