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Politics

Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$60.4K
1,256 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 321 traders

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

4 MARKETS · $424.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

27 YESvs55 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$93+28 new NO$2.9K
$34 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $110 is directional: YES $107·NO $3
YES Team
Total Invested
$253
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$136(-53.9%)
Whales
27
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥇
Entry 11¢·618.8 shares
$-68INV $68 · WR 70.9%
L
LR1🥈
Entry 9¢·200 shares
$-18INV $18 · WR 62.7%
A
akroll🥉hedged
Entry 16¢·96.8 shares·also $83 on NO
$-15INV $15 · WR 84.5%
K
kaxel78hedged
Entry 16¢·93.2 shares·also $80 on NO
$-15INV $15 · WR 85.3%
P
polyweatheryuan
Entry 12¢·80 shares
$-10INV $10 · WR 55.1%
C
coypu
Entry 14¢·42.3 shares
$-6INV $6 · WR 74.9%
H
haruk098
Entry 9¢·40 shares
$-4INV $4 · WR 76.0%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 1¢·114.7 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.3%
T
Tysha
Entry 1¢·39 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 88.9%
U
UbuntuTradingProven
Entry 10¢·0.7 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.5%
Showing top 10 of 27

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: the Republican Party hold between 200…