Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
89¢
89% implied
NO Price
11¢
11% implied
Volume
$13.0K
299 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 98 traders
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $54.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$1.5K+4 new NO$31
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
91.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$63(-5.9%)
Whales
4
T
TrangNgo🥇
Entry 98¢·1,031.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $1.0K · WR 92.3%
J
Juju48🥈
Entry 91¢·60 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $55 · WR 75.8%
S
Secondary-Magic🥉
Entry 26¢·27 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $7 · WR 66.3%
C
coypu
Entry 24¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$234
Avg Win Rate
87.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$197(-84.3%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 59¢·167.6 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $99 · WR 87.6%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 99¢·62 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
96.3%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $61 · WR 96.3%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 69¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $21 · WR 69.8%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 78¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $16 · WR 86.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 71¢·17.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $12 · WR 89.0%
A
anothercoin
Entry 69¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $9 · WR 84.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 61¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 87.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 67¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 86.4%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 68.4%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 370ms