Politics9 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$27.4K
399 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 134 traders
South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $58.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs14 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$175+6 new NO$489
$117 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $58 is directional: YES $29·NO $28YES Team
Total Invested
$538
Avg Win Rate
56.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$282(-52.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$503
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$232(+46.1%)
Whales
14
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 33¢·634 shares·also $508 on YES
Invested
$211
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $211 · WR 55.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 57¢·210 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $121 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 57¢·50.2 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $29 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 65¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $21 · WR 79.4%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 56¢·37.8 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $21 · WR 84.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 77¢·26.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 72.0%
R
robinsonmaria
Entry 60¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 85.4%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 76¢·15 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 77.8%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 72¢·14.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 59.5%
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