Politics9 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$13.0K
314 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 97 traders
South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $57.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$75+5 new NO$259
$107 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $14·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$382
Avg Win Rate
56.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$198(-51.9%)
Whales
3
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·446.1 shares·also $148 on NO
Invested
$353
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-195
$-195INV $353 · WR 55.6%
C
cloverpmq2🥈hedged
Entry 75¢·20 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $15 · WR 60.4%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 28¢·50 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $14 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$438
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$148(+33.9%)
Whales
11
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 33¢·446.2 shares·also $353 on YES
Invested
$148
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $148 · WR 55.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 56¢·117.5 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $66 · WR 79.4%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 72¢·85 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $61 · WR 88.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 72¢·85 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $61 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 72¢·50.2 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $36 · WR 87.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 72¢·37.9 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $27 · WR 84.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $13 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 87.6%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 47¢·14.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 59.8%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 27¢·20 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $5 · WR 60.4%
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