Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$4.3K
199 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 69 traders
SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $17.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$36+7 new NO$161
$72 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $20·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$20
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+21.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$315
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+4.6%)
Whales
11
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 74¢·170 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $125 · WR 89.3%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $40 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 82¢·37 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $30 · WR 72.1%
M
merod
Entry 58¢·46 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $27 · WR 84.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·45.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $23 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $16 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 54¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 86.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 79.6%
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