Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 50% or more?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$822
86 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 37 traders
SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs12 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $13·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-31.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$273
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$246(+90.0%)
Whales
12
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $85 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·65.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $33 · WR 79.6%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·46 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $23 · WR 84.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·45.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $23 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·42.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $21 · WR 72.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·34 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $17 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.2%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·11.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 80.3%
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