Politics20 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 40%-45%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

25¢

25% implied

NO Price

75¢

75% implied

Volume

$3.6K

223 trades

Smart Whales

14

of 75 traders

SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $18.2K MATCHED

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs12 NO

14%86%

86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges

+2 new YES$65+6 new NO$209

$13 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $47 is directional: YES $24·NO $23

YES Team

Total Invested

$27

Avg Win Rate

73.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$26(+97.2%)

Whales

2

Entry 13¢·176.5 shares

+$25INV $24 · WR 75.0%

just-bettor🥈

Entry 17¢·19 shares

+$1INV $3 · WR 62.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$262

Avg Win Rate

82.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$35(+13.5%)

Whales

12

northdrawer🥇

Entry 62¢·85.2 shares

+$11INV $53 · WR 87.7%

quietparcel🥈

Entry 81¢·60 shares

$-3INV $48 · WR 88.7%

qwen4.1.fund🥉

Entry 60¢·42.8 shares

+$7INV $26 · WR 85.9%

Entry 71¢·34.5 shares

+$1INV $25 · WR 72.1%

Entry 84¢·27.5 shares

$-3INV $23 · WR 64.1%

Entry 50¢·45.6 shares

+$12INV $23 · WR 79.6%

Entry 79¢·23 shares

$-1INV $18 · WR 84.0%

Novel-Driveway-Upgrade

Entry 50¢·32 shares

+$8INV $16 · WR 81.7%

Entry 66¢·14 shares

+$1INV $9 · WR 89.0%

Entry 84¢·10 shares

$-1INV $8 · WR 86.0%

Showing top 10 of 12

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