Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$561
63 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 35 traders
NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $12.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
87.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+228.2%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$98
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$45(+45.9%)
Whales
8
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 92¢·32.3 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 78¢·28 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $22 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.7%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 85.3%
L
Leading-Craft
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 83.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $8 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 66.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 84.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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