Politics22 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$897
69 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 35 traders
NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $12.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $6·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-17.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$33(+65.9%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 89¢·16 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 86.0%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled🥉
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $9 · WR 79.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 70¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 84.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 66.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 24¢·18 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $4 · WR 85.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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