Politics22 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$2.7K
160 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 52 traders
NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $12.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $13·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-31.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$90
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+34.4%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·64.7 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $32 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 65¢·28 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 71¢·16 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 79.2%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 81.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 84.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 67¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 88.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 66.8%
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