Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
40¢
40% implied
NO Price
60¢
60% implied
Volume
$3.9K
112 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 68 traders
NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $31.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 40¢
YES 15%NO 85%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 40¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $492 is directional: YES $48·NO $444YES Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
56.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$36(+75.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$547
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$53(+9.7%)
Whales
11
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·343.7 shares
Invested
$343
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $343 · WR 61.2%
J
johnashbough🥈
Entry 82¢·100 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $82 · WR 55.1%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 32¢·115 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $36 · WR 56.1%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 95¢·22.1 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $21 · WR 82.2%
O
onforme◆Proven
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 68.4%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $17 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 93¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $14 · WR 72.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 92¢·6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 87.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 95¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 66.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 92¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 79.2%
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