Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$7.6K
226 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 99 traders · 1 on both sides
NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $40 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2·NO $35YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-71.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$240
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$283(+117.6%)
Whales
10
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 77¢·181.1 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$139
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $139 · WR 81.4%
S
spaceloaf🥈
Entry 99¢·35.8 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $35 · WR 64.3%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 80¢·24 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $19 · WR 88.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 81¢·23 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $19 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 82¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 87.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 69¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 66.7%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 97¢·1.5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 5¢·15 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $1 · WR 71.7%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 0¢·224.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$219
+$219INV $0 · WR 78.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 620ms