Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$8.7K
299 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 103 traders
MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $40.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 44¢
YES 41%NO 59%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 44¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $190 is directional: YES $190·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$223
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$380(+170.1%)
Whales
7
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 17¢·564.5 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$166
+$166INV $96 · WR 59.6%
1
1walrus🥈
Entry 17¢·374 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $65 · WR 64.4%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 13¢·169 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $23 · WR 71.3%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 19¢·111 shares·also $89 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $21 · WR 58.4%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 17¢·72.2 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $12 · WR 85.9%
Y
yoyo424269
Entry 17¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $5 · WR 69.6%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 60.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$713
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$205(-28.7%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 81¢·302.6 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $244 · WR 87.7%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 73¢·179.4 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $131 · WR 70.1%
A
Anjun🥉hedged
Entry 80¢·111 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$89
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $89 · WR 58.4%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 81¢·85 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $69 · WR 86.6%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 72¢·72.2 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $52 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 84¢·55.9 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $47 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 81¢·50 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $41 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 79¢·18 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $14 · WR 87.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 77¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $14 · WR 84.0%
V
Vapid-Pompom
Entry 83¢·15.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $13 · WR 75.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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