Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$4.7K
284 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 78 traders
MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$184+13 new NO$301
$228 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$39
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-29.1%)
Whales
4
J
just-bettor🥇
Entry 35¢·40 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $14 · WR 62.0%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 90¢·14.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $13 · WR 65.1%
A
Anjun🥉hedged
Entry 21¢·55 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 58.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 59.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$490
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$221(+45.1%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·360 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $180 · WR 72.2%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $135 · WR 85.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 50¢·105.5 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $53 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 85¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $34 · WR 88.2%
M
Moral-Stamp
Entry 78¢·36 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $28 · WR 84.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 60¢·36 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $22 · WR 87.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $18 · WR 84.5%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 75¢·19.3 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 58.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 68¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 79.6%
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