Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 40% or more?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$1.7K
108 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 40 traders
MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $23 is directional: YES $14·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-53.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$598
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$535(+89.5%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·359.3 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $180 · WR 72.2%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 50¢·340 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$151
+$151INV $170 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 51¢·258.3 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $133 · WR 86.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 52¢·110.5 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $58 · WR 79.6%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 · WR 79.1%
P
Political-Wish-Foot
Entry 50¢·30.6 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 68.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 14¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $5 · WR 84.5%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 59.8%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 59.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 59.7%
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