Politics12 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$4.9K
298 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 80 traders
MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $28.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$5+2 new NO$73
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16 is directional: YES $16·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$55
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$27(-48.7%)
Whales
6
J
just-bettor🥇
Entry 35¢·40 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $14 · WR 57.1%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 90¢·14.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 65.1%
A
Anjun🥉hedged
Entry 21¢·55 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 58.7%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 17¢·57.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 69.3%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 23¢·23.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 55.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$598
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$373(+62.3%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·360 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $180 · WR 72.1%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 50¢·340 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $170 · WR 86.6%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $135 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 85¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $34 · WR 88.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 60¢·36 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $22 · WR 87.7%
H
Handmade-Kielbasa
Entry 59¢·30.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $18 · WR 70.0%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $18 · WR 84.4%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 75¢·19.3 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 58.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 68¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 79.6%
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