Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$7.7K
294 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 94 traders
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 83%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$891+22 new NO$438
$636 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $148 is directional: YES $101·NO $47YES Team
Total Invested
$101
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+1.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$192
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$189(-98.7%)
Whales
12
J
johnashbough◆Proven🥇
Entry 79¢·60 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $47 · WR 56.2%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 77¢·50 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $38 · WR 89.2%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 73¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $36 · WR 88.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 58¢·55 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 75¢·24 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 39¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 86.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 66¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 87.0%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 84.7%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 2¢·8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 60.3%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 2¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.9%
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