Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$7.8K
328 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 97 traders
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $34.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$540+18 new NO$591
$424 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $59 is directional: YES $59·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$62
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$33(-52.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
86.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-3.6%)
Whales
8
H
haveagoodday🥇
Entry 77¢·70 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $54 · WR 87.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 78¢·55 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $43 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $17 · WR 86.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 86.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 84.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 77¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 77¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 88.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 66¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 79.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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