Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$33.2K
644 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 168 traders · 1 on both sides
Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $137.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs14 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 62%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$3.4K+44 new NO$2.4K
$1.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$19 of $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.8K·NO $58YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.3K(+286.0%)
Whales
21
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥇
Entry 23¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$690
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$2272
+$2272INV $690 · WR 62.0%
T
The-Joker◆Proven🥈
Entry 58¢·629 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$258
+$258INV $363 · WR 69.1%
F
Flipadelphia🥉
Entry 20¢·1,670.1 shares
Invested
$334
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$1315
+$1315INV $334 · WR 56.8%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 17¢·600 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$488
+$488INV $104 · WR 70.9%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 26¢·281.9 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$204
+$204INV $74 · WR 67.4%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven
Entry 23¢·300 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$227
+$227INV $69 · WR 69.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 42¢·130 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$54
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $54 · WR 72.1%
M
mantou11
Entry 20¢·264 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$207
+$207INV $54 · WR 56.3%
P
PUERTOVALLERTA452
Entry 99¢·50.6 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $50 · WR 72.8%
G
G.Hchen
Entry 26¢·100 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $26 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$612
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$583(-95.4%)
Whales
14
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 62¢·256.2 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-157
$-157INV $160 · WR 88.0%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 48¢·287.7 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $138 · WR 86.1%
M
melchior1248🥉hedged
Entry 77¢·159.1 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$122
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $122 · WR 69.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 70¢·95 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $66 · WR 88.2%
T
tinman2
Entry 59¢·50 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 66.2%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 50¢·58.2 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $29 · WR 82.1%
J
johnashbough◆Proven
Entry 28¢·62.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 56.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 73¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 86.2%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 9¢·100 shares·also $54 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 72.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 40¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 66.6%
Showing top 10 of 14
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