Politics5 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$10.2K
424 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 113 traders · 1 on both sides
Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $55.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs9 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$358+14 new NO$1.7K
$483 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $236 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $179·NO $55YES Team
Total Invested
$185
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$43(-23.3%)
Whales
7
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥇
Entry 27¢·500 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $135 · WR 67.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 18¢·199.6 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $36 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 18¢·29.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 69.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·50 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 79.5%
C
coypu
Entry 25¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 74.8%
S
SiliconBets
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 75.9%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 27¢·4.2 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$225
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$98(+43.5%)
Whales
9
H
haveagoodday🥇
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $85 · WR 86.6%
C
Car🥈
Entry 67¢·76.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $51 · WR 65.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 54¢·60 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $32 · WR 66.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 69¢·37.9 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $26 · WR 79.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 73¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 87.6%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 62¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 80.3%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 84.5%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 68¢·3.3 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 55.4%
A
AmericaFirst1
Entry 63¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 58.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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