Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
66¢
66% implied
NO Price
34¢
34% implied
Volume
$4.3K
213 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 86 traders
FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $35.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $335 is directional: YES $335·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$335
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-4.9%)
Whales
5
9
0x90b92431...🥇
Entry 59¢·408.6 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $241 · WR 55.0%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 40¢·117.2 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $47 · WR 77.9%
0
0x0011db8d...🥉
Entry 100¢·19.9 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $20 · WR 56.1%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $19 · WR 81.3%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 31¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $8 · WR 56.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$330
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$148(-44.8%)
Whales
11
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 65¢·170 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $111 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 68¢·124.9 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $85 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 80¢·54.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $44 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 71¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $28 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 75¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $22 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 73¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $15 · WR 86.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 19¢·40 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 87.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 15¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $5 · WR 87.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 62¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 66.7%
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