Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 20%-25%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

10¢

10% implied

NO Price

90¢

90% implied

Volume

$5.1K

316 trades

Smart Whales

of 93 traders

FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $35.1K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election

5¢−5¢$1.7K0/12

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election−5¢5¢

$1.7K0/12

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs14 NO

13%88%

88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges

+6 new YES$46+11 new NO$166

$34 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale5 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $16 is directional: YES $9·NO $7

YES Team

Total Invested

$18

Avg Win Rate

62.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$13(-71.5%)

Whales

garbagecollect4🥇hedged

Entry 83¢·11 shares·also $3 on NO

Entry 17¢·50.1 shares

NO Team

Total Invested

$541

Avg Win Rate

85.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$187(+34.5%)

Whales

+$64INV $208 · WR 86.2%

Lucerys🥈

Entry 55¢·212.1 shares

+$74INV $118 · WR 88.0%

+$27INV $63 · WR 88.2%

+$6INV $52 · WR 79.6%

+$1INV $17 · WR 87.7%

+$1INV $17 · WR 88.7%

+$1INV $17 · WR 88.9%

+$4INV $14 · WR 86.2%

balthazar

Entry 96¢·13.2 shares

$-1INV $13 · WR 72.1%

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