Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$15.4K
503 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 135 traders
FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $35.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$129+10 new NO$323
$60 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $879 is directional: YES $20·NO $859YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+0.3%)
Whales
4
M
mantou11🥇
Entry 12¢·118.9 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 56.3%
D
0xd4eb89f8...🥈
Entry 34¢·11.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 64.8%
L
lemongamboa🥉
Entry 32¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 63.9%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 17¢·6 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$344(+25.3%)
Whales
15
F
flexibleagedbeef🥇
Entry 74¢·1,163.6 shares
Invested
$859
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $859 · WR 75.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 71¢·260 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $183 · WR 86.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 54¢·217.9 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $117 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 55¢·74.5 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $41 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $40 · WR 86.2%
R
Roasted-Skyscraper-Imagination
Entry 50¢·57.3 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $29 · WR 75.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 65¢·40 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $26 · WR 89.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 88.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 90¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 69.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.1%
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