Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$5.1K
261 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 95 traders
FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $23.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%
+1 new YES$19+1 new NO$1
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $318 is directional: YES $302·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$321
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+1.2%)
Whales
5
9
0x90b92431...🥇
Entry 55¢·371.5 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $203 · WR 55.0%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 53¢·126.2 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $67 · WR 77.9%
0
0x0011db8d...🥉
Entry 100¢·30.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $31 · WR 56.1%
R
RayGuy
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $19 · WR 77.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 9¢·7.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 87.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$213
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$45(-21.3%)
Whales
11
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 69¢·100 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $69 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 62¢·65.5 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $40 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 85¢·38 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $32 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 74¢·31.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $23 · WR 87.5%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 84¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $15 · WR 78.5%
A
aliiz
Entry 76¢·16.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $12 · WR 67.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 65¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 86.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 13¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $5 · WR 71.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 74¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 68.4%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 71¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 84.1%
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