Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$2.0K
157 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 52 traders
FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $11.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs10 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$29+4 new NO$41
$36 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $38 is directional: YES $0·NO $38YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$168
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+21.9%)
Whales
10
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 65¢·78.9 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $52 · WR 87.7%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 71¢·54 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $38 · WR 65.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $25 · WR 79.6%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $18 · WR 79.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 55¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 85.9%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $9 · WR 78.4%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 84.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 53¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 85.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 26¢·14 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $4 · WR 86.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 53¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 4205ms