Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$3.1K
148 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 54 traders
FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $11.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $27 is directional: YES $10·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-2.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$100
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+28.0%)
Whales
7
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 55¢·52.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $29 · WR 85.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 85.9%
V
Vicious-Wannabe🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $18 · WR 79.9%
A
aliiz
Entry 81¢·21 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 65.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 75¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.0%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 70¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 84.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 87.7%
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