Tech/AIResolved
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.6K
189 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 112 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs23 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $413 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $16·NO $394YES Team
Total Invested
$198
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$195(-98.5%)
Whales
14
L
lamyk🥇hedged
Entry 67¢·224.5 shares·also $63 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-150
$-150INV $150 · WR 56.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 32¢·94.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 72.2%
F
0xf0d27a33...🥉
Entry 34¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 57.9%
A
0xad0e338e...
Entry 34¢·6.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 59.4%
5
0x5602dc58...
Entry 33¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 63.0%
E
easyautomate
Entry 25¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 64.4%
F
0xfc1164dc...
Entry 33¢·4.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 61.8%
D
dedidanchedged
Entry 0¢·450.8 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 62.1%
E
enaich
Entry 1¢·100 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 73.0%
B
0xbdd0ce25...
Entry 34¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 63.4%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$709
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$334(+47.1%)
Whales
23
A
a6xTaE9YeEptK🥇
Entry 97¢·235.5 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $229 · WR 100.0%
R
rpontici🥈
Entry 94¢·100 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $94 · WR 88.9%
P
Pipouuuuuuu🥉
Entry 98¢·76 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $75 · WR 88.1%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven
Entry 60¢·109.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $65 · WR 79.3%
L
lamykhedged
Entry 28¢·224.5 shares·also $150 on YES
Invested
$63
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$162
+$162INV $63 · WR 56.8%
L
lightsout912
Entry 88¢·65.1 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $57 · WR 67.1%
K
kinderSman
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
96.1%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $50 · WR 96.1%
T
turtle911◆Proven
Entry 50¢·84 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $42 · WR 73.7%
D
dedidanchedged
Entry 63¢·23.7 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $15 · WR 62.1%
9
0x9e48f1e4...
Entry 70¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 65.2%
Showing top 10 of 23
Smart Whale Trades
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